24考研人数降低后，今年将是考研“大年”？
http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_0.webp<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;visibility: visible;"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;white-space: normal;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;visibility: visible;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="107004" data-width="92%" style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;outline: 0px;white-space: normal;width: 622.838px;flex: 0 0 92%;visibility: visible;"><section style="margin: 10px auto;outline: 0px;text-align: left;visibility: visible;"><section style="margin-top: 5px;padding: 30px 25px;outline: 0px;background-color: rgb(244, 244, 244);visibility: visible;"><section data-autoskip="1" style="outline: 0px;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.75em;background: transparent;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px;background-color: rgb(214, 214, 214);font-size: 14px;visibility: visible;letter-spacing: normal;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;">往期文章推荐</span>
<span style="outline: 0px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;visibility: visible;">首次招生，盘点25考研新增硕士点</span>
<span style="outline: 0px;color: var(--weui-LINK);cursor: default;visibility: visible;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;font-size: 14px;"></span><span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-decoration-style: solid;text-decoration-color: rgb(87, 107, 149);visibility: visible;">双非热度远超双一流！反内卷开始了？</span></span>
<span style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;"><span style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-decoration-style: solid;text-decoration-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);visibility: visible;">考研上岸985和高考进985，区别有多大？</span></span>
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同学们好，我是橙酱～
每年在考研备考阶段，大家都会听到网上说今年是“考研大小年”的「考研黑话」，来定义今年考研的难度。
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="letter-spacing: 0.578px;"> <section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="105320" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><section ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 18px;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);text-align: center;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;white-space: normal;"><section style="outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;text-align: left;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;visibility: visible;"><section style="padding: 23px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;width: 578px;vertical-align: top;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;height: auto;border-style: dashed;border-width: 1px;border-color: rgb(95, 145, 183);background-color: rgba(95, 145, 183, 0.07);visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;text-align: justify;visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">所谓“大年”就是指某学校或专业在某年内特别火，报考人数特别多，分数线也就水涨船高了，这年就是它的“大年”。</span>
<span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br/></span>
</section><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;text-align: justify;visibility: visible;"> <span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">而“小年”正好相反，由于报考人数少，分数线降低。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">一般来说，“大年”、“小年”是相隔一年或两年交替出现的。</span>
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尤其是在看到24考研报考人数下降后，大家都开始担心25考研是“大年”，竞争压力会变大。
那么，今年真的是“考研大年”吗？今天就和橙酱一起来看一看！
01.
24考研情况回顾
要分析25考研的情况，离不开24考研情况的回顾。
相信有很多二战或者备考时间较早的25考研同学，都或多或少的关注过24考研的情况，了解到24考研是“考研小年”。
具体而言，有以下几点原因：
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;text-align: center;"> <section style="margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;white-space: normal;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;line-height: 1.6em;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row nowrap;visibility: visible;text-align: justify;"><section style="padding: 29px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;width: 676.992px;vertical-align: top;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;visibility: visible;background-color: rgba(97, 155, 139, 0.09);"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="95102" style="margin-bottom: 24px;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;"><section style="margin-right: 0em;margin-left: 0em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br/></span></section><section style="margin-right: 0em;margin-left: 0em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">原因一</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">：报考人数自2016年以来的首次下降</span></section><section style="margin-right: 0em;margin-left: 0em;"><br/></section><span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 15px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">教育部在11月22日正式公布了今年考研报名人数：<span style="outline: 0px;">据统计，2024年全国硕士研究生招生考试报名人数为438万。</span></span>
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<span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 15px;">较2023年考研报名人数474万人，</span><span style="outline: 0px;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">减少36万人！下降约7.6%！</span></span>
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http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_1.jpg
<span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">*考研历年报名人数</span>
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<span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">在扩招的大背景下，报考人数下降，考研的上岸难度确实会适当下降。</span>
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<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;text-align: center;"> <section style="margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;white-space: normal;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;line-height: 1.6em;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row nowrap;visibility: visible;text-align: justify;"><section style="padding: 29px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;width: 676.992px;vertical-align: top;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;visibility: visible;background-color: rgba(97, 155, 139, 0.09);"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="95102" style="margin-bottom: 24px;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;"><section style="margin-right: 0em;margin-left: 0em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br/></span></section><section style="margin-right: 0em;margin-left: 0em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">原因二</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">：24考研阅卷普遍宽松</span><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">从报名阶段就出现部分院校</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">报考人数下降、报录比<1、部分院校爆冷</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">等现象，都证明了今年是“考研小年”。</span><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="text-align: center;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">而从阅卷来看，</span><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">从一些阅卷老师发布的消息来看，24考研公共课主观题阅卷较为宽松。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br/></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_2.jpg</section><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">*图源网络</span>
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<section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="text-align: center;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">并且加上整体招生人数扩招，只要有认真复习，大家的分数都还不错</span><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">。</span></section><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;"><section style="outline: 0px;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"></span></section></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="text-align: center;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"></span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></pre></p>
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;text-align: center;"> <section style="margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;white-space: normal;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;line-height: 1.6em;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row nowrap;visibility: visible;text-align: justify;"><section style="padding: 29px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;width: 676.992px;vertical-align: top;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;visibility: visible;background-color: rgba(97, 155, 139, 0.09);"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="95102" style="margin-bottom: 24px;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;"><section style="margin-right: 0em;margin-left: 0em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">原因三</span><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">：政治简单，英语难</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">虽然#考研政治 简单#上了热搜，但考完英语后，热搜也炸了，前20条至少有6条都和考研英语相关，核心就是一个字“难”</span><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;outline: 0px;">。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">尤其还有个热搜词#考研英语 轻舟已撞大冰山#，甚至有同学考英语二，还反复掀开卷子确认是不是发成英一了。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br/></span></section>http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_4.png
<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 12px;">*图源网络</span>
<section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">但题目难，大家都难，难度正是与别人拉开距离的关键。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><br/></section><section style="line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">这个时候会更考验大家的心理素质能力及临场发挥能力，对于认真备考基础扎实的同学们来说，反而是上岸的机会。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></pre></p>
并且，考研人更加理智，在这样的综合作用下，虽然24考研分数线普遍上涨，但从数据上看，24考研部分院校一志愿上岸率确实大幅提高，最高高达89.1%。
那么看到这里，不得让25考研人心里犯了嘀咕：25考研岂不肯定是“考研大年”了！我们接着往下看。
02.
25考研是考研大年？
与“考研大小年”最直接相关的数据就是报考人数了。
根据教育部公布的相关数据显示，2020年高考本科录取人数为443.1万，对应参加2024年考研；2019年高考本科招生431.29万人，对应参加2023年考研。
http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_5.png
而2021年高考本科招生444.6万人，仅比2020年的高考本科生招生人数多1.5万人。也就是说，应届本科生考研的学生人数可能没有较大变化。
不过考研群体中，除了应届毕业生，还有大量的往届生及在职人员报考。
近年来，往届生的占比是逐渐升高，人数也逐渐增多，在24考研中占比甚至突破50%！
这代表虽然24考研报考总人数下降了，但选择二战、三战的往届考生并没有明显下降，下降的是应届考生。
而到了25考研，往届生考研比例还将持续上涨，预计将突破55%的大关。这也就意味着25考研人数还是有很大可能上涨！25考研真的可能是“考研大年”！
除了报考人数，推测25是“考研大年”还有以下几点原因
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 24px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row nowrap;"><section style="padding: 17px 20px 20px 25px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: auto;align-self: flex-start;flex: 100 100 0%;height: auto;border-left: 1px dashed rgb(255, 212, 103);border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;z-index: 0;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row nowrap;"><section style="outline: 0px;display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: auto;align-self: center;min-width: 5%;flex: 0 0 auto;height: auto;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);"><section data-role="title" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="110073" data-color="#67a130" style="margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;visibility: visible;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(255, 104, 39);"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">● 公共课难度升高</span></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><br/></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">其实回顾往年的情况，也都会发现，每年都会有考生吐槽题目难度变大，事实也是考研的难度在逐步增加。</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">由此看来，25考研的难度大概率会继续延续往年年的“优良传统”，只会继续加大难度，降低的可能性几乎没有......</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">● 更多院校参与统考</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;text-wrap: wrap;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);text-align: center;caret-color: red;text-shadow: none;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;text-wrap: wrap;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);text-align: center;caret-color: red;text-shadow: none;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">从2024年全国硕士研究生招生考试起，教育专业学位硕士业务课考试科目将增设全国统一命题科目，供相关招生单位自主选择使用。</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;text-wrap: wrap;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;"><br/></section><section style="outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;text-wrap: wrap;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;text-align: center;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">在这一背景下，越来越多高校加入统考大军，24考研如此，25考研更是如此。目前全国统考的科目名单如下</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;text-wrap: wrap;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;"><br/></section><span style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_6.png</span>
<br/>
<span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">而统考意味着把大家要用相同的评选标准进行筛选，大概率是会提高分数线的。</span>
<section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;font-size: 15px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;"></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(255, 104, 39);"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">● 分数线可能再次上涨</span></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><br/></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">根据国家线趋势可以看到，24考研分数线上涨的专业较为集中，也反映了研究生招生方向的变化和报考热度的变化。</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;text-align: justify;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">而25考研是完成专硕扩大至三分之二的关键一年，因此25考研中学硕分数线大概率会继续上涨。</span></section></pre></p>
并且，虽然考研整体是扩招趋势，前一段各大高校又新增硕博点了！硕士学位授权点更是高达1924个，但并不一定首年就开始招生！
这些种种不利好的情况摆在眼前，我们25考研的同学应该如何应对呢？
03.
25考研应该如何应对？
其实，对于“考研大小年”的说法本身就具有极大的主观性。
有的同学认为今年报考人数会涨，但也有同学认为，25考研人数将继续下降，毕竟现在大家的选择更多样化了。
*图源网络
每个人所处的环境，所面对的情况不同，对考研的主观感受也会有很大的不同。
并且，整体推测是不能用来替代具体情况的，可能今年整体的考研热度有所下降，但你自己所报考的院校专业“爆了”的情况也是普遍存在的。
尤其是那些相对门槛较低容易跨考文学类专业、招生规模小的艺术类专业以及不考研就没出路的医学类、教育类、法学类等专业。
这些专业的“内卷”程度是扩招都很难改变的，常常把！简直年年都是“考研大年”！
因此，对于“考研大小年”，我们应具体到是否是自己的院校专业的“考研大小年”
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);outline: 0px;"> <h1 style="outline: 0px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-size-adjust: inherit;widows: 1;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="107004" data-width="92%" style="margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;outline: 0px;white-space: normal;width: 622.838px;flex: 0 0 92%;visibility: visible;"><section style="margin: 10px auto;outline: 0px;text-align: left;visibility: visible;"><section style="margin-top: 5px;padding: 30px 25px;outline: 0px;background-color: rgb(244, 244, 244);visibility: visible;"><section data-autoskip="1" style="outline: 0px;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.75em;background-color: transparent;visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: transparent;">大部分院校每年报考的人数不会出现大规模浮动，但某些院校在当年进行大规</span><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: transparent;">模扩招或者新成立某个学院等情况会导致大小年的状况。</span></section><section><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: transparent;"><br/></span></section><section><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: transparent;">当然偶尔也会出现一些比较“玄学”的情况，大家一股脑儿去报考某一个院校或默契的不报考某个院校，这会导致大小年的出现。</span><br/></section><section><br/></section></section><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"></span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">橙酱建议大家在进行院校信息的收集时多查阅几年的报考人数和录取人数进行分析比较。</span><span style="font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: transparent;">同时选取最难的一年作为自己考研标准，以免出现报考人数突然增多难度加大导致措手不及的情况。</span>
<section style="outline: 0px;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="outline: 0px;background-color: transparent;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"></span></section></section></section></section></section></pre></p>
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"> <section style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="105320" style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">不管是大年还是小年，其实放到每个个体身上，考研对每个同学的难度仍然是差不多的。</span>
<span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br/></span>
<span style="outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">所以抛开一切来说，增强自己的势力，甩掉对手才是最关键的事！</span>
</pre></p>
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"> <section style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="outline: 0px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-bottom: 0px;"><br/></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;visibility: visible;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 15px;"><br/></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;visibility: visible;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 15px;">如果你还有更多择校/择专/课程问题，点击下方的</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 215, 213);font-size: 15px;">【规划指导】</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 15px;">卡片免费咨询</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;visibility: visible;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: justify;"><br/></section></section></pre></p>
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.6em;">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_8.gif
<section style="font-size: 16px;"><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;line-height: 0;"><section style="vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_9.png</span></section></section><section style="text-align: left;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 50%;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;"><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;line-height: 0;"><section style="vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;width: 98%;height: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_10.png</span></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 50%;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;"><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;line-height: 0;"><section style="vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;width: 98%;height: auto;"><span class="js_jump_icon h5_image_link">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725948188585_11.png</span></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;text-wrap: wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><br/></section></section></section></section></pre></p>
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 1.6em;margin-bottom: 0px;"><br/></section></section></pre></p>
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