25考研人数逆向上涨？上岸会变得更难吗？
我们都知道，考研报考人数和考研难度有一定的关系。教育部公布24考研报名人数为438万，较2023年考研报名人数474万人，减少36万人！下降约7.6%！是自2016年以来的首次下降！
http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725966375808_1.jpg
*考研历年报名人数
那么，25考研又会情况如何？报考人数是否会因为24考研的下降，又重新再爆涨回去？
今天，就带着大家一起来分析一下～
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(34, 34, 34);"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(253, 92, 9);font-size: 28px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">01.</span></span></section><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 20px;background-color: rgb(255, 254, 213);"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">25考研备考热情下降</span></span>
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<section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">有人说，24考研已经下降了很多，证明了24考研是“考研热”开始降温的转折点，那么25考研报考人数是不是还会继续下降？</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">从大趋势来看，未来8年充足的大学本科生生源就决定了考研人数不会出现断崖式下跌。</span>在未来一段时间，考研报名人数可能会稳定在一个区间，而并非持续下降。</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.6em;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 15px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">因此，</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 15px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;color: rgb(253, 92, 9);">即使25考研又出现了报名人数暴涨的情况，也并不意外！</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;line-height: 1.6em;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">但根据橙酱的观察，目前大家的备考状态好像并不理想，以往那种“废寝忘食”的备考氛围似乎不再那么浓厚~</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.6em;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: justify;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">有的同学表示，自己没有想学的劲头，早上起不来、晚上看奥运</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: justify;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">*图源网络</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">也有的同学说自己特地定了自习室，结果就是用来睡觉玩手机的……</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">*图源网络</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">还有的同学表示，自己一学习就想睡觉，甚至可以睡上一下午。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">*图源网络</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">且除了考研人的备考热度不高，一些考研博主也在慢慢消失，退出市场。</span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">不少考研博主更新内容的频率明显降低，有的甚至已经停更，而更新的帖子热度也不像曾经：互动数量、点赞转发等均在减少。这也从侧面反映</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">考研同学整体的活跃度正在下降。</span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">的确在前几年有大量的同学是跟风考研，仅仅因为周围人都在考，那自己也考，但现在好像整个</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">考研人群体在逐渐回归理性，思考更适合自己的道路。</span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">那么</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(253, 92, 9);">具体到25考研报名人数，又会如何呢？</span>
</section></section></pre></p>
02.
考研人数影响因素
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(34, 34, 34);text-align: center;"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0em;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">有同学认为，25考研人数将继续下降，毕竟现在大家的选择更多样化了。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">*图源网络</span></span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">确实如此，路越走越多、越走越宽，并且随着社会的发展，大学生们有了更多的选择。</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 215, 213);font-size: 15px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">1） 考公考编、留学为考研竞争分流 </span></span>
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">考研人数的下降与留学、考公等选项的分流有一定关系。</span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">据统计，24年国考热度高涨，共有303.3万人报名过审，比23年新增43.53万人，增幅达到16.76%。</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">且从近五年报考趋势来看，已经</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">有越来越多的同学倾向于考公考编这条渠道</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">，或许能为25考研再次分流。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725966375808_6.webp
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">*图源</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">网络</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">另外，出国留学也成为了大家提高学历的一种选择，这也一定程度上缓解了国内考研热。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 215, 213);"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">2） 研究生学历价值开始“贬值” </span></span>
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">另外目前就业市场的形势并不乐观，在前两年，研究生毕业后很多同学都会选择进入高校工作，但这两年开始，进入高校的门槛已经提到了博士生。</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">同时，一些要研究生的岗位，竞争压力甚至赶超一些本科生岗位。</span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">因此，不少同学可能会选择放弃考研：</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">三年的研究生学习期间，学历的贬值速度可能超过了自己的提升速度。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725966375808_7.webp
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">*图源</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">网络</span>
<br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">学历贬值确实是一个不争的事实，但如果是有明确的读研规划、研究生提升计划的话，那么考研这件事情对我们来说利还是大于弊；</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">但如果只是跟风、盲目考研，读了研也不知道做什么，那么大家还是需要慎重考虑一下。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">*图源</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">网络</span>
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</section></section></section></pre></p>
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);letter-spacing: 0.578px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);"> <pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);text-indent: 0em;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.6em;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 1.6em;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(253, 92, 9);font-size: 28px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">03.</span></span></section><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 20px;background-color: rgb(255, 254, 213);"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;"> 25考研报名人数会上涨吗？</span></span>
<section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;"> <br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;">虽然整体的大环境下，考研变得不再“跟风”和“盲目”，但也有同学认为认为今年考研人数将会上涨：现在的自习室都没空位了。</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: justify;"></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">*图源网络</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">确实，</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">从考研生源来分析的话，25考研人数也有上涨的可能性。</span>
<br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(253, 92, 9);"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">考研群体一般分为应届生和往届生。</span></span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">其中应届生每年相差的不大，这一点可以从高考本科录取人数中得知:</span>
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</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">根据教育部公布的相关数据显示，2020年高考本科录取人数为443.1万，对应参加2024年考研；2019年高考本科招生431.29万人，对应参加2023年考研。</span></section> <br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725966375808_10.png
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">*图源</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;">教育部</span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 13px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">而2021年高考本科招生444.6万人，仅比2020年的高考本科生招生人数多1.5万人。也就是说，</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;">应届本科生考研的学生人数可能没有较大变化。</span>
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<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">不过考研群体中，除了应届毕业生，还有大量的往届生及在职人员报考。</span>
<br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">近年来，往届生的占比是逐渐升高，人数也逐渐增多，</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(253, 92, 9);">在24考研中占比甚至突破50%！</span>
<pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 16px;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 27.2px;widows: 1;"> <section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;white-space: normal;visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;line-height: 1.6em;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;padding: 29px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;width: 676.992px;vertical-align: top;align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;visibility: visible;background-color: rgba(97, 155, 139, 0.09);"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="95102" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-bottom: 24px;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">2021年，377万人报考，往届生占比43.8%，应届生占比56.2%。</span><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span>
</section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">2022年，457万人报考，往届生占比47.2%，应届生占比52.8%。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">2023年，474万人报考，往届生占比48.44%，应届生占比51.56%。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.6em;text-align: justify;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">2024年，438万人报考，往届生227万人，往届生占比51.82%，应届生占比48.18%。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></pre></p>
这代表虽然24考研报考总人数下降了，但选择二战、三战的往届考生并没有明显下降，下降的是应届考生。
而到了25考研，往届生考研比例还将持续上涨，预计将突破55%的大关。这也就意味着25考研人数还是有很大可能上涨！
并且，往届生们要么是工作了一段时间后，结合自己未来职业发展需要考研，要么是二战、三战继续考研。
他们考研的目标更加坚定，复习的时间更长，在考场上也更有经验，相对而言更有优势，也更容易考出高分。
因此，25考研的环境依旧严峻
<p><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"> <section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 24px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;padding: 17px 20px 20px 25px;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: auto;align-self: flex-start;flex: 100 100 0%;height: auto;border-left: 1px dashed rgb(255, 212, 103);border-bottom-left-radius: 0px;z-index: 0;"><section powered-by="xiumi.us" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-bottom: 10px;outline: 0px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: auto;align-self: center;min-width: 5%;flex: 0 0 auto;height: auto;"><section data-role="title" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="110073" data-color="#67a130" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin-bottom: 0em;outline: 0px;visibility: visible;"><pre ng-bind-html="message.MMActualContent" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">● 公共课难度升高</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">其实回顾往年的情况，也都会发现，每年都会有考生吐槽题目难度变大，事实也是考研的难度在逐步增加。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">由此看来，25考研的难度大概率会继续延续往年年的“优良传统”，只会继续加大难度，降低的可能性几乎没有......</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">● 复试占比明显提升</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">24考研中，不少高校提高复试成绩占比，比如桂武汉大学医学研究院复试占比提高至60%。</span>
<section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(255, 104, 39);"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;">● 更多院校采取专业统考</span></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: center;letter-spacing: 1px;">此前，据教育部公布的《2021年全国硕士研究生招生工作管理规定》中提到：</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: center;text-shadow: none;letter-spacing: 1px;">鼓励招生单位选用全国统一命题科目试卷，自命题考试回归统考。</span></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: center;text-shadow: none;letter-spacing: 1px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></span></span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);text-align: center;caret-color: red;text-shadow: none;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">并且，从2024年全国硕士研究生招生考试起，教育专业学位硕士业务课考试科目将增设全国统一命题科目，供相关招生单位自主选择使用。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;text-align: center;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;">在这一背景下，越来越多高校加入统考大军，24考研如此，25考研更是如此。目前全国统考的科目名单如下</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-size: 18px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(237, 80, 54);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/></section> <span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(89, 89, 89);font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;">http://kuailexuexi.net/data/attachment/forum/20240910/1725966375808_12.png</span>
<br style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;"/>
<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);letter-spacing: 0.544px;">在这里也提个醒，更建</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">议同学们在选择报考院校时，</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 1px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);text-decoration: underline;">优先选择专业课统考的院校。</span><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1px;">24考研有部分院校在专业调剂时明确表明仅接受专业课科目统考的考生。</span>
</pre></p>
因此，对于25考研来说，报考人数无论是下降还是上涨，竞争程度更加激烈，毕竟如今考研成功的同学可都是铆足了劲才能够上岸的。
但好消息是，目前研究生整体开始扩招趋势。所以，大家多给自己一些信心，不要焦虑，只要开始了，就别放弃，就一定可以跑到终点！
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